H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Rainfall ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was at first expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now recommending that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and incredibly effective hurricane that triggered huge destruction and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane warnings have actually now been released for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy need to spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a cyclone that might bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has activated cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone experts previously alerted typhoons might form in uncommon areas later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe hazards and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy